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Essays on Political Economy, Predictions, and Replications
Dissertation   Open access

Essays on Political Economy, Predictions, and Replications

Domenico Viganola
Stockholm School of Economics
Doctor of Philosophy (PHD), Stockholm School of Economics
2019

Abstract

This doctoral thesis in Economics consists of five self-contained chapters:"Strategic Abstention in Referendum with Quorum" studies voting behavior in elections with participation threshold, with empirical evidence from Italy and from an Online Experiment."Crowdsurfing Hypothesis Test" is an attempt to make transparent how design choices shape research results in experimental psychology."Is Research in Social Psychology Politically Biased?" empirically examines the role of political ideologies in academic research."Predicting Replication Outcomes in the Many Labs 2 Study" investigates whether researchers in the social sciences can anticipate whether 24 published studies will successfully replicate."Analysis of Survey and Prediction Market Data from Large-scale Replication Projects" provides a systematic comparison between two methods to elicit forecasts: surveys and prediction markets.
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