Abstract
A company is susceptible to the risk incurred by stochastic prices, measured in the domestic currency unit. The random characteristic stems from a stochastic domestic price or from a stochastic foreign exchange rate possibly combined with a locally stochastic price. The risk may be reduced by initiating hedging activities. Nowadays, there is no enveloping method on the market to guide the actors in the choice among the abundance of hedging methods and in the decision of hedging level. This dissertation aims at trying to provide a support method for such a decision. The fundamental idea of the method developed is to provide the actor with the probability distribution of the outcome of the total position (contractual position, anticipatory position, or tender offer plus hedging activity), conditional on any combination of hedging vehicles chosen. Thus, by analyzing and by possibly altering the hedging mix, the actor may create a risk profile of the total position that suites his or her disposition.