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Weather shocks, infant mortality, and adaptation: Experimental evidence from Uganda
Journal article   Open access   Peer reviewed

Weather shocks, infant mortality, and adaptation: Experimental evidence from Uganda

Martina Björkman Nyqvist, Tillmann von Carnap, Andrea Guariso and Jakob Svensson
Journal of Development Economics, Vol.176, p.103478
2025-09

Abstract

Climate change is increasing the intensity of extreme weather events. Health is a primary channel through which climate change affects welfare. Yet, estimates of the mitigating effects of health system strengthening are largely missing. We combine data from a randomized trial inducing variation in healthcare access with naturally-occurring variation in growing-season precipitation to study the adaptive impact of community healthcare in a low-income country setting. The risk of infant death increases following low growing-season rainfall, but access to community healthcare reduces this risk by 46 %. Using our estimates coupled with projections from climatological models implies even larger potential adaptive effects.
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UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

This output has contributed to the advancement of the following goals:

#3 Good Health and Well-Being
#10 Reduced Inequalities
#13 Climate Action

Source: SDGs in the Output

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