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Does Investor Recognition Predict Excess Returns?
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Does Investor Recognition Predict Excess Returns?

Andriy Bodnaruk and Per Östberg
AFA 2006 Boston Meetings Paper
2005

Abstract

We test Merton's (1987) hypothesis using individual level stockholdings of Swedish investors. Controlling for size and other factors, we find that lower levels of investor recognition lead to greater future excess returns. Positive (negative) changes in investor recognition are followed by lower (higher) excess returns. The effect of investor recognition is more pronounced for young firms. We demonstrate that investor recognition is conditionally priced.

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