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Russia’s Car Fleet Dynamics - and Why They Matter
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Russia’s Car Fleet Dynamics - and Why They Matter

Cecilia Smitt Meyer
FREE Network Policy Brief Series, Forum for Research on Eastern Europe and Emerging Economies (FREE) Network
2025-05

Abstract

International trade Russo-Ukranian War Sanctions Macroeconomics Russia Trade
Russia’s car imports have evolved dramatically since its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The invasion and subsequent sanctions have led to a shift away from mainly Western car imports to domestically produced cars, and especially Chinese cars, both of which entail quality concerns. Despite state-sponsored loan relief, the heightened inflation pressures in Russia and increased financial burden on households is catching up to the car market – in the first quarter of 2025, the sales of new cars decreased by 25 percent compared to 2024. This policy brief uses the developments in the Russian primary car market as a lens to examine the spending power of Russian households and highlight the limitations of state interventions under sanctions and inflationary pressure.
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