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The Value Gap: Europe Cannot Scale
Working paper

The Value Gap: Europe Cannot Scale

Bo Becker, Efraim Benmelech and Joao Monteiro
35577
NBER Working Paper Series, 35577, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)
2026

Abstract

G12 G15 G32 O36
In 2008, the aggregate market value of U.S.-listed firms was roughly one-third higher than that of European-listed firms. By 2023, it was more than 300% higher, a difference of $34 trillion. The valuation gap is broad-based, rather than concentrated among a few superstar firms, and is driven by differences in firm values, not in the number of listed firms. Across sectors, the gap is larger in R&D-intensive industries and in industries with high returns to scale. European firms’ size is strongly correlated with home-country GDP, whereas U.S. firms’ size is unrelated to home-state GDP. Smaller European firms also face a particularly large cost-of-capital gap and do not appear able to substitute debt for limited access to equity financing, including venture capital. Taken together, these facts suggest that financial and product-market frictions constrain European firms’ ability to scale.
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